The Lagos government has expressed fears that the state might record up to 39,000 cases of Covid-19 in the state. Commissioner for Health, Prof. Akin Abayomi, made this known while briefing journalists at the Secretariat, Alausa, Ikeja on Thursday afternoon.

Although he mentioned that this may be the worst scenario analysis, however, it could be limited to 13,000 if everyone practices the measures directed by the government. He also mentioned that the figures were small as compared to outbreaks around the globe.

“Our mathematical modelling shows that the worst-case scenario is that we may see up to 39,000 cases in Lagos, but if everyone practices good social distancing, the figure will be limited to 13,000.

If we add social distancing to active contact tracing, then we will be able to bend the curve further.

The figures may seem alarming at this point, but this is just to emphasize to the Lagos community to follow instructions of the incident commander to make sure that we practice social distancing and other preventive measures.

Looking at the same time frame from the introduction of the index case, you can see that Lagos State is not seen anywhere near what Spain, Italy and Iran are showing.

So, at week two and three of our index case, we are flat and at week four, we have 37 cases; while at the same fourth week, Italy, Iran and Spain had more than 20,000 cases.

So, we are doing something right in the state,” Abayomi stated.